Friday, October 20, 2006

The U.S. National Reconnaissance Office initiated an intriguing project in 1998 called Proteus. It strove to develop truly fresh perspectives on intelligence needs and technologies to fulfil them. It did so using the scenario planning approach of a commercial facilitator, Deloitte Consulting. Focusing out to the year 2020, the project generated nine insights — i.e., fresh lenses different from Cold War themes. These provided new ways to consider (and then plan to address) issues in a changing world. Three workshops involving a range of intelligence professionals and outsiders helped compose five scenarios — characterizations of the world of 2020 to stimulate consideration of issues and solutions. … Follow-on stages aimed to transfer Proteus thinking to other agencies, implement gaming environments, and assess the potential of emerging technologies to contribute to multiple future environments.

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